Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 16.966927 19.727192 22.726710 26.219660 30.166344 34.478234 39.536088
2025-05-25 12.017824 15.728804 20.172297 25.842063 32.836905 41.133732 51.664239
2025-06-01 9.032612 13.016073 18.170859 25.234131 34.550187 46.295333 62.081063
2025-06-08 6.833218 10.726429 16.119329 23.975134 34.935324 49.466839 69.926954
2025-06-15 5.911060 9.962138 15.895988 24.976631 38.222356 56.487825 83.142706
2025-06-22 5.057595 9.114180 15.373673 25.396244 40.616978 62.355962 95.099921
2025-06-29 4.188389 8.068351 14.370451 24.914675 41.557774 66.131811 104.260880
2025-07-06 3.399372 7.002482 13.161205 23.919258 41.546104 68.413989 111.291611
2025-07-13 3.160065 6.861438 13.444176 25.329795 45.364423 76.641920 127.615531
2025-07-20 2.920748 6.674947 13.611971 26.538969 48.920828 84.655278 144.041926
2025-07-27 2.643341 6.363277 13.506814 27.243880 51.665833 91.523450 159.034470
2025-08-03 2.357764 5.982699 13.218244 27.573936 53.769290 97.449015 172.813902
2025-08-10 1.998509 5.407360 12.536748 27.219372 54.848954 102.094458 185.385092
2025-08-17 1.663491 4.821694 11.762021 26.624426 55.498269 106.163350 197.462878
2025-08-24 1.379734 4.289128 11.008591 25.966018 55.947192 109.892719 209.182874
2025-08-31 1.100835 3.693934 10.012733 24.669743 55.031015 111.109212 216.610963
2025-09-07 1.013242 3.591324 10.116587 25.695128 58.709175 120.794497 239.359690
2025-09-14 0.901706 3.392135 9.958625 26.124943 61.220382 128.479878 258.952690
2025-09-21 0.759663 3.061485 9.421036 25.631429 61.785650 132.547193 272.211149
2025-09-28 0.617814 2.686317 8.699634 24.611279 61.134745 134.226409 281.138909
2025-10-05 0.591727 2.694794 8.999050 26.056814 65.883362 146.634606 310.681127
2025-10-12 0.558974 2.671123 9.205991 27.295776 70.269241 158.561995 339.866282
2025-10-19 0.511616 2.579902 9.207084 28.017965 73.556543 168.474181 365.660949